Data Skrive
Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Arizona Diamondbacks in the second of a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies and Maximilian Kepler on Saturday at 6:05 p.m. ET. The favored Phillies have -124 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +104. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +161 odds). The total for the game has been set at 9.5 runs.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 6:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and ARID
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -124 | +104 | 9.5 | -106 | -113 | -1.5 | +161 | -200 |
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Diamondbacks 48%
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 24 times and won 14, or 58.3%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has entered 19 games this season favored by -124 or more and is 13-6 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- The Diamondbacks have won in five of the 10 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Arizona has a win-loss record of 3-4 when favored by +104 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
- The Phillies’ ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.86 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Phillies Player Insights
- The Phillies’ best power option comes in the form of Kyle Schwarber and his 10-dinger 25-RBI season, both team highs.
- Of all hitters in baseball, Schwarber’s home run total places him second, and his RBI tally ranks him 10th.
- Bryce Harper is batting .235 with six doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
- Harper is 52nd in home runs and 62nd in RBI in the major leagues.
- Harper carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double and a walk.
- Bryson Stott is hitting .275 with four doubles, two triples, two home runs and 12 walks.
- Trea Turner’s .299 batting average paces his team.
- Turner brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .579 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+115) | – | 0.5 (+155) |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+115) | – | 0.5 (+150) |
| Maximilian Kepler | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+145) |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-170) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0.5 (+110) |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+135) | – | 0.5 (+170) |
Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance
- The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
- The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Diamondbacks Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.21 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Diamondbacks Player Insights
- Geraldo Perdomo has put up a team-leading 26 runs batted in.
- Perdomo ranks 52nd in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Perdomo carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
- Corbin Carroll is batting .285 with eight doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 10 walks.
- Carroll ranks fifth overall in home runs and 17th in RBI this season.
- Josh Naylor paces the Diamondbacks’ lineup with a .316 batting average.
- Eugenio Suarez paces the Diamondbacks with 10 home runs.
Diamondbacks Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+125) | – | 0.5 (+170) |
| Ketel Marte | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (-105) | – | 0.5 (+125) |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+150) |
| Eugenio Suárez | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+100) | – | 0.5 (+125) |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (-120) | – | 0.5 (+120) |
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
